In The Modular-World*, there's a Time & a Place, a Purpose a Price & a Pace. U Compete U Adapt U Evolve, or U get Repriced, Repackaged or Replaced... Context Matters, Evolution is Modular, and the Band Plays On... In this World as in Business, Sports & The Game of Life, Human Nature is a double agent & often your toughest opponent ~ Welcome to The Modular-World* - The Realm of Complexity Science and Modular-Finance™ ~ Animal Spirits at Work ~ Orgel's Rules in Play ~
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Monday, June 20, 2011
The Times They are a'Changin Part 3 - Dow 8300....First Stop...,.....
To be continued.....
Sunday, June 19, 2011
Saving and Investing are Two Different Things.....MLMOFO
Saving is Modern Finance - One Dimension
Investing REquires Modular Finance - MultiDimensional
Investing REquires Modular Finance - MultiDimensional
RELAX - Evertyone Is Wrong - We alll Make Mistakes......
When Genius Fails
The Harvard Misstep
A Colossal Failure of Common Sense
The Billion Dollar Mistake
The Harvard Misstep
A Colossal Failure of Common Sense
The Billion Dollar Mistake
In the Modular World.....
Sports is a Metaphor for Life and Financial Markets are a Reflection of it......
The Trick is of the Matrix is to get M2 to Mirror M1
The Trick is of the Matrix is to get M2 to Mirror M1
Saturday, June 18, 2011
Equity Markets Operate in a Modular World....
The Financial Realm is Modular in Nature - The is a Time and Place for Everything....
Wall street is Where the NYSE is Located - This is Where Stocks Are Traded.
Money is not managed Here it is Traded...MLMOFO...
Greenwich is in Connecicut it is the Hedge Fund Capital of The World
Omaha is in Nebraska - It is Where Warren Buffet Lives...
Fidelity is in Boston...
Vanguard is In Pa.
London
Wall street is Where the NYSE is Located - This is Where Stocks Are Traded.
Money is not managed Here it is Traded...MLMOFO...
Greenwich is in Connecicut it is the Hedge Fund Capital of The World
Omaha is in Nebraska - It is Where Warren Buffet Lives...
Fidelity is in Boston...
Vanguard is In Pa.
London
Modular Systems....Financial and Non- Financial
The Financial Markets ar A Reflection of The Human World....
Financial Markets are the invention of Human Beings and a reflection of them and their behavior....
They work when they are tough but fair...
Financial Markets are the invention of Human Beings and a reflection of them and their behavior....
They work when they are tough but fair...
Modern Finance Describes the World in A bell Jar.....
Modular Finance Adds the Friction encountered in The Real World to The Equation.......To take it to the next Level....
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
From the Big Bang to the Fall of The House of Lehman....
The Modern World of Finance and The PC World...
- 10.27.1986 - 09.15.2008 -
It was the Best of Times, It was the Worst of Times.....
.....it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of light, it was the season of darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we were all going direct to heavan, we were all going direct the other way...
From Modern to Modular and Desktop to the Cloud.....The next Level......
- 10.27.1986 - 09.15.2008 -
It was the Best of Times, It was the Worst of Times.....
.....it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of light, it was the season of darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we were all going direct to heavan, we were all going direct the other way...
From Modern to Modular and Desktop to the Cloud.....The next Level......
Monday, June 13, 2011
Sunday, June 12, 2011
Friday, June 10, 2011
Missing The Macros will be dangerous........
People who Don't do the Macro Work are vumerable to the Conventional Wisdom being wrong - Which is Dangerous - Because in Financial Markets it is Usually wrong .... by definition.....
Thursday, June 9, 2011
Believing in MPT is Similar to Believing in the tooth fairy, the wizard of oz and the Flux Capacitor
For Your retirement Plan,,,,,,,
Finance and the Financial World Is Not One Industry.....It is a MultiVerse.....
MLMOFO.......Monet Lost Mistaking One For the Other
The Game of Three card Monty ana Liars Poker.....
"We do That" No you Don't
The Game of Three card Monty ana Liars Poker.....
"We do That" No you Don't
Wednesday, June 8, 2011
Concepts in Modular Finance - Complexity helps to construct and manage a more Robust and Reliable/Predicable Process/Forecast
Multi-Period Planning
Adaptive Rolling Forecasts
Complexity Finance Requires a Modular Framework....
Turbulence
Complex Adaptive Systems
Adaptive Rolling Forecasts
Non-Linear Systems
Complexity Economics
Evolutionary Theory
Adaptive Rolling Forecasts
Complexity Finance Requires a Modular Framework....
Turbulence
Complex Adaptive Systems
Adaptive Rolling Forecasts
Non-Linear Systems
Complexity Economics
Evolutionary Theory
Finance and Financial Markets are a reflection of Life......
Likewise it has three dimensions
The Past - is History
The Present -is Real
The Future - is Complex and uncertain...
Modular Finance is A function of all Three
Modern Finance - Deals with the past and the present
Complexity Finance - Deals with the Future and Emergence
The Past - is History
The Present -is Real
The Future - is Complex and uncertain...
Modular Finance is A function of all Three
Modern Finance - Deals with the past and the present
Complexity Finance - Deals with the Future and Emergence
The Bifurcation of Modern Finance......
The Department Store and The Shopping Mall
Modular Finance deals with the Ability to Adapt To Change
If Modern Finance is the Ring - Modular Finance is the Arrow
Investment Management is the Domain of Modular Finance......
Banking and Brokerage is the domain of Modern Finance......
Investment Management is the Domain of Modular Finance......
Banking and Brokerage is the domain of Modern Finance......
Why Modular.......
The Stupidity Of Commentators basing this recovery on the performance of the Stock Market
Globalization has also made the world a more Competitive Place and thus things evolve faster.....
China is no longer Just The Worlds Sweatshop in the Global Food Chain...
Remember when made in Japan meant Junk???
That was just the ante
Remember when Hundai was a cheap of junk....
IBM
Income for life
systems Thinking
Modularity of the brain
Economist
Evolution is Modular
Globalization has also made the world a more Competitive Place and thus things evolve faster.....
China is no longer Just The Worlds Sweatshop in the Global Food Chain...
Remember when made in Japan meant Junk???
That was just the ante
Remember when Hundai was a cheap of junk....
IBM
Income for life
systems Thinking
Modularity of the brain
Economist
Evolution is Modular
Saturday, June 4, 2011
A Paradigm Shift
A door like this has cracked open five or six times since we got up on our hind kegs. It's the best posible time to be alive, when almost everything you thought you knew is wrong.
- Tom Stoppard, Acadia
- Tom Stoppard, Acadia
Friday, June 3, 2011
Monday, May 30, 2011
Sunday, May 29, 2011
The Only way to protect the wisdom of the Crowd is to Protect the Independence of the individual.
Markets work the same way....
Friday, May 27, 2011
Thursday, May 26, 2011
The Reason there is no Loan Growth is Because banks don't have to Make Loans to make money....
In the ERA Deregulation (repeal of Glass-Steagal) ....this Activity is now incidental to their business Model....
Monday, May 23, 2011
Adaptive Systems are Complex, Fractal and Modular - It's That Simple...
Portfolio Management is a Modular System
Friday, April 29, 2011
The Modular World - A Publication of MW/Financial - Specialists in Modular Portfolio Consruction and Management
The Song of the Nightingale.......
Monday, March 21, 2011
Friday, February 11, 2011
Systems Thinking
Perhaps the most successful learning technique we are taught as we are growing up is the method of analysis by decomposition, in which we break complex things down to the level where we can understand the individual parts.This works for many things, but for dynamic systems, particularly those that involve humans, the usual effect is to squeeze out some of the most important features.
Systems thinking is an approach that draws attention to connections among the parts, particularly focusing on how the elements of a system feed back to one another, both creating extraordinary patterns of growth (amplifying feedback) and providing ways to control the system (regulating feedback).
Systems thinking is an approach that draws attention to connections among the parts, particularly focusing on how the elements of a system feed back to one another, both creating extraordinary patterns of growth (amplifying feedback) and providing ways to control the system (regulating feedback).
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